Warm with a few strong storms late in the day on Sunday
Forecast loop from 7:00 a.m. Sunday to 1:00 a.m. Monday
Some showers and thunderstorms are possible across the state on Sunday. The first lap will consist primarily of a dying rainstorm moving east during the morning and noon hours and could re-enforce a touch over northeast Minnesota in the mid/late afternoon hours. As this cluster attempts to regain strength, another cluster of storms appears to be forming to the west as an area of low pressure moves across northern Minnesota, drawing a frontal boundary across the state. Some of these storms could become violent late in the day into the evening hours.
Due to the potential that some of these late day/evening storms could be strong to severe, the entire subway has a mild severe weather risk (danger level 1 of 5) with a minor risk for a good portion of the rest of Minnesota. Large hail and destructive winds are the greatest risk from any of the strong storms. However, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
So while we monitor both of these storm chances on Sunday, much of the rest of the day will be a mix of sun and clouds with mostly sunny skies. Morning lows will be warmer than recent – only falling back into the upper 60s before climbing to the upper 80s around 90F for a high in the afternoon.
Above-average highs are expected across the state on Sunday, ranging from the 70s along the North Shore to the 90s in parts of southern Minnesota. Once again we will observe some chances of rain, otherwise expect a mix of sun and clouds.
More 90’s this week – Hottest day Wednesday
We’ll get a day’s breather from the heat behind this system on Monday as that brings with it highs that will “only” be in the mid 80’s. However, once we’re past Monday, it looks like a heatwave will return to the region as we see a stretch of four days with a high of 90F in the subway. There could be some chances of rain here at the Tube late Tuesday through Wednesday, but confidence in the timing of those rain chances is low at this time.
The hottest day for the next few years currently appears to be Wednesday, when highs in parts of southern Minnesota could climb into the mid (and even upper) 90s. Again, we’ve seen some chances of storms (and associated cloud cover) that could disrupt these temperatures – but confidence in these won’t increase until we get a little closer.
July is coming to an end
With July ending on Sunday, looking back for most of the month (reads above through Friday) it was warm and dry in the Twin Cities. As of Friday, it was the 25th warmest and 17th driest in the record book. We’ll have to see how that changes with above-average highs here on Saturday and Sunday and the probability of storms on Sunday.
Next week June will compete for severe heat
By Paul Douglas
I don’t want to bury the lede: Next week could be the hottest week of a very hot summer in Minnesota, a summer poised to be nearly as hot as 2021, which for the Twin Cities and much of it will be the hottest on record Records was Minnesota.
I’m seeing a streak of 90’s and a few days with daily highs near 100F. Hot enough to get your attention. Hot enough to load the grid. Hot enough to accelerate the evaporation of water from our soils and lakes and increase drought. I hope I’m wrong about that, but that seems to be the direction we’re going. Who would have predicted that in April?
The mercury will approach 90°F later today with a couple of strong T-storms sprout at dinnertime. Any rain over the next 2 weeks will be the exception, not the rule.
NOAA is forecasting a warm bias into October, and studying the models, I can’t disagree. In all likelihood, Minnesota’s most valuable resource (water) will be stretched in the coming months. I wish I had better news.
You wanted a real (fucking hot) summer? It is here.
Paul’s Extended Twin Cities Prognosis
SUNDAY: Sticky Sun, Strong T-Storm. Wake up 69. High 90. Chance of precipitation 50%. Wind S 15-25mph.
MONDAY: Sunny with some relief. Wake up 69. High 86. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind NW 8-13mph.
TUESDAY: Sunny with a hot breeze. Wake up 71. High 96. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind S 15-25mph.
WEDNESDAY: Tropical with some T-Storms. Wake up 74. High 93. Chance of precipitation 40%. Wind NW 7-12mph.
THURSDAY: Sunny and warm. Wake up 69. High 90. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind SE 10-20mph.
FRIDAY: Free sauna. hot sunshine. Wake up 73. High 98. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind S 10-20mph.
SATURDAY: Steamy with a late T storm. Wake up 81. High 96. Chance of precipitation 30%. Wind SW 8-13mph.
Minneapolis weather almanac and solar data
*Length of the day: 14 hours, 43 minutes and 10 seconds
*Daylight LOST since yesterday: 2 minutes and 21 seconds
*When do we drop below 14 hours of daylight?: August 17 (13 hours, 58 minutes, 36 seconds)
*What time does the sun rise at/after 6am?: August 3 (6:00 a.m.)
*What time does the sun set at/before 8:30 p.m.?: Aug 8 (8:29pm)
This day in weather history
1961: Very heavy rain falls at Albert Lea where 6.7 inches is recorded in 24 hours.
National Weather Forecast
On Sunday we will observe three different areas of precipitation over the lower 48. The first will be with the stationary boundary from the central plains to the mid-Atlantic. A second will be in the upper Midwest and Great Lakes with an area of low pressure and frontal boundaries. The third will be due to monsoon showers and storms in the southwest. Meanwhile, excessive heat continues in parts of the Northwest, where numerous record highs will be possible.
Over the next few days, portions of the central/southern Mississippi Valley will continue to experience heavy rain into the Tennessee Valley, with a potential of at least 3 to 5 inches of rain in some locations. This could lead to flash floods.
Minnesota’s initiative aims to reduce the energy load in manufactured homes
More from Energy News Network: “Manufactured homes are among the few affordable housing options for many low-income Minnesotans, but they can be notoriously drafty and expensive to heat and cool, leaving many residents with significant energy bills. A public-private partnership reports progress on the initiative to reduce this burden by connecting prefab communities with local utility programs and weathering contractors paid with federal dollars. The Clean Energy Resource Team aims to reduce the energy burden of all Minnesotans to less than 5% of their income. Over the past four years, special efforts have been made to target manufactured housing communities, where approximately half of the residents make less than $35,000 per year.“
What it will take for EV battery swapping to become mainstream in the US
More of Protocol: “Electric vehicle infrastructure has traditionally focused on plug-in chargers. But swapping out batteries for new ones near death is an alternative approach to keeping EVs running. The practice has gained a foothold in China but has not yet caught on in the United States. While a handful of startups are trying to make it work in the US, headwinds against the technology could see it relegated to a handful of applications and industries. Chinese EV company Nio has carved a niche for itself in the country’s luxury market for battery swapping. That’s partly because battery swapping, when done right, can essentially replicate the gas station experience: a quick stop before hitting the road again. The practice promises to eliminate the “range anxiety” that polls show will be felt by potential EV owners by smoothing the transition, particularly for drivers for whom time is of the essence. But even in China, the technology is yet to be fully adopted for a number of reasons that have also slowed the spread of battery switching in the US“
New Antarctic study shows concentrations of ‘forever chemicals’ reaching remote continent have increased
More from Lancaster University: “New evidence from Antarctica shows toxic “forever fluorinated chemicals” have increased significantly in remote environments in recent decades, and scientists believe CFC substitutes may be among the likely sources. Chemicals such as perfluorocarboxylic acids (PFCAs), known as perennial chemicals because they do not naturally degrade in the environment, have a wide range of uses, e.g. combat foam. One of these chemicals, perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA), accumulates in food webs and is toxic to humans with links to immune system impairment and infertility. In this new study, published by the journal Environmental Science & Technology and led by scientists from Lancaster University along with researchers from the British Antarctic Survey and the Hereon Institute of Coastal Environmental Chemistry, Germany, firn cores (compacted snow) were taken from extreme remote, high and icy Dronning Maud Land Plateau in East Antarctica.“
– DJ Kayser